Monday, September 26, 2005

cnet: microsoft's nightmare?

sept 26

this is what i have been saying about google's relentless drive towards web services.

do you think the computer industry is about to see a paradigm shift that dethrones the wintel duopoly? if google can get the web services, on-demand paradigm going that means nobody will upgrade to the latest and greatest PCs just because microsoft comes out with a new os. that means the end of microsoft's fat cash pile and intel's cushy margins.

by the way, i am doing some research on innovation, and i claim that microsoft is extremely innovative on business models, but not at all so on technological innovation. so far as i can tell, just about the only big thing that they have fully created themselves is the xbox, and maybe .net. most of their big hits (dos, word, excel, powerpoint) they acquired from other companies they bought. do you have a different opinion?

http://news.com.com/Microsofts+nightmare+inches+closer+to+reality/2100-1012_3-5877197.html?tag=nefd.lede

1 comments:

satish said...

" if google can get the web services, on-demand paradigm going that means nobody will upgrade to the latest and greatest PCs just because microsoft comes out with a new os. that means the end of microsoft's fat cash pile and intel's cushy margins. "

This is possible but chances are much less than Google would want us to believe. The internet was supposed to have spelt doom for Microsoft. Oracle had predicted :) Microsofts death with their NetPC. Sun has written many obituaries of Microsoft, so has IBM, and also GNU. I think there is a space for everyone here. Sun/IBM in server side market, Oracle in Databases, and Microsoft on the Desktop/applications side. GNU is everywhere.
You still need a fully loaded PC, if you want good performance. YOu need a loaded machine to run programs/games/music/movies. You need a machine to use a printer or a scanner. You need to save stuff on a disk. So people will still upgrade, and there are still many people wanting to own PCs, across the world. Today, even a P4/AMD 64 fails to give good speed in an office environment.

By the way, Dos, and MS office have been acquired from other companies, but you missed out these - Windows NT series, Visual Studio series, and Win 9x series, maybe fully made by Microsoft.