Wednesday, June 18, 2025

Trump Becoming Bush 2.0?

Remember how Bush had a totally different set of political objectives and agenda out of the starting gate as his presidency began. However, the 9-11 attacks quickly saw Bush diverting into the new 'War on Terror' with all its expanding cascade of military interventions abroad.

Likewise some time back, Trump was warning that Obama would get the US into a new war with Iran: 



Things have come a long way since then, as Trump himself is now readying US forces for a massive military attack on Iran. Trump himself may be hungrily eyeing Iran's oil wealth, just as he's eyed the natural resource wealth of other countries, whether Greenland, Canada, Ukraine, etc, as a means of offsetting America's unsustainable debt. As Mao did with Tibet, so too may Trump be capable of doing towards others, if he sees enough reward in it.

As Israel does not have the stamina for a long military conflict with Iran, and Iran is quite capable of waging such a protracted war under its current mullah regime, then the only way for Israel to avoid this is if the US can be brought into the war to smash Iran's military capability. For longer term stability, a regime change would need to be carried out to oust the mullahs. Ayatollah Khamenei doesn't seem to have groomed any obvious successors, which is an exploitable vulnerability. But no matter how powerful an aerial bombing campaign the US can carry out, even one which successfully decapitates the current Iranian leadership, US victory would not be possible without a ground invasion. We Indians should be wary of the US trying to press us into service for that (they might even dangle the IMEC carrot to seduce Modi), because such a quagmire war would extract a huge death toll. Even if there are plenty of Iranians who are weary of the mullah regime in Tehran, the same could have been said of Iraqis under Saddam, Libyans under Qadafi, Syrians under Assad, etc. As those examples show, regime removal may simply result in prolonged chaos and instability.

Anyway, as long as Indian troop commitments can be avoided, regime change in Iran could actually benefit India by removing Pakistan's monopoly on offering the West access to Central Asia. If the West can get a reliable route through Iran, then Pakistan loses a huge portion of its strategic worth. Furthermore, an Iran in chaos means an Iranian Balochistan which can be converted into a springboard for the liberation of Pakistani-controlled Balochistan. For that reason alone, we should remain open-minded.

Anyway, it's not like we're being consulted by the Americans who are now taking their decisions to make war on Iran.

Tuesday, June 17, 2025

If US is Drawn Into Iran War, Will It Eventually Pressure India to Supply Troops?


When the US invaded Iraq in 2003 on the pretext that it was building "WMD", a delegatoin of NeoCons led by Bill Krystol had shown up in New Delhi, urging India to provide troops in support of the Iraq invasion and occupation. Their intellectual elites had read the history books about Her Majesty's Indian Army in Iraq, pacifying the natives there (at great cost to their own lives). They even dangled juicy carrots on Kashmir and arms deals, etc, but after a patient hearing from our babus, they ultimately left empty-handed.


The US is now moving forces into position to launch a massive bombing campaign against Iran on Israel's behalf, perhaps in the hopes that this can trigger regime change. The risk is that an aerial bombing campaign won't be enough, and with the die already cast, the US will then be forced to go for ground invasion, which is a much riskier prospect than Iraq, since Iran has twice the population and 3X the land area, much of it being difficult mountainous terrain.

As the US faces the prospect of again getting in over its head, will it once again reflexively turn to India to push it to provide troops for such an endeavour? Such proposals always seem easier to make when putting at risk the lives of others rather than one's own.

Trump Speaks Bluntly at G7

It's rather fun to watch King Trump do some blunt talking in front of others like Canadian PM Carney, who are meekly absorbing it. 

https://x.com/atrupar/status/1934637036821963081


China Flying Arms Over to Iran

 China seems to be quietly transporting more ammunition to Iran via cargo flights. They want to reinforce Iran in this fight. However, there are reports that communist groups in Iran have also suddenly become active, which implies that China/Russia are now activating these groups in case Israel/US are successful in ousting the current Mullah regime in Tehran, so that Iran doesn't just fall into laps of Israel/US unchallenged.

The Chinese and Russians are also reportedly interested in getting radar signature data on the F-35, which Israel is using in its aerial operations against Iran.

https://x.com/AMK_Mapping_/status/1934122481968931030

Sunday, June 15, 2025

NKorea to Give Military Support to Iran; Israel/US Face Long Attrition War; Russia Will Benefit As Oil Prices Surge

Oil prices are surging due to Israel-Iran conflict, which will benefit Russia.


Indo-Pak conflict from Sindoor ended relatively quickly, but Israel-Iran conflict may not end so quickly, even though Israel has a need for it to. Israelis have always preferred short sharp wars, because they're at a serious disadvantage of running out of stamina for a long drawn-out conflict or attrition war.

North Korea has now announced it will provide military support to Iran in the current conflict.

I read that as meaning Iran won't necessarily run out of missiles anytime soon. I also more deeply read that Nuland & Co who started Russia-Ukraine war to keep Russia preoccupied and unable to poke its nose into Middle East, have once again neglected all potential possibilities, as Russia has simply pressed into service its additional proxy North Korea to do the job (ie. Horizontal Escalation instead of Vertical Escalation)

Iran and North Korea represent a dual problem. The US collusion in surprise attack on Iran can only tip off North Korea that a similar fate awaits it, just as Libya's Qadafi rudely discovered in the past. Hence, North Korea's motivation to intervene while the odds are better.

This North Korean support does not appear to have been in the contingency planning of Israel or USA. Which means that Israel/USA will now have to lurch into some ad-hoc stunt to deal with this new development. Could that mean a new military coup in S.Korea, like they did against Imran Khan in Pakistan? (As we know, the most recent right-wing coup there failed, when the entire citizenry revolted against it.) But leave it to American Cold Warriors to act like a Bull-in-a-China-Shop and trample on yet another country in ham-fisted style, thus further straining their ties with the rest of the world.


Saturday, June 14, 2025

Iran's Quds Force Commander Relocated to Israel (He Was Their Spy)

 


https://x.com/DrEliDavid/status/1933524649872404815



Northern Ireland in Flames: Riots Erupt Over Immigration, Housing & Criminality

We all love to cry racism when there is opposition to immigration, but the reality is that rising criminality and strains on housing & infrastructure are leading to a backlash against what has essentially become a human-trafficking racket. Like all human-traffickers, politicians are only concerned with volume and throughput, as they run their Ponzi scheme. In this, the Brits and Canadians have a lot in common, and that's why we flock to them as former imperial subjects, because this same practice lubricated and facilitated that imperialism of the past.

Northern Ireland is Britain's most sensitive area, for reasons of history and ethnicity -- and that's precisely the reason why they're trying to ethnically and demographically alter the place, in order to keep it in place.
Given that Britain is a western spearhead in aggressively pursuing war against Russia via Ukraine (they've been accused of participating in the drone attack on Russian airbases), one would think they'd know better than to throw stones from their glass house. 


Friday, June 13, 2025

Israel's Strike on Iran Apparently Used Same Method as Ukraine Drone Strike On Russia

Word coming out is that a Ukraine-style attack was carried out against Iranian targets.

Meaning that drones were infiltrated into Iran over a period of many months, to later be activated at the desired moment, to blow up the targets.
This was the same method recently used against Russian airbases to give Russia its 'Pearl Harbor'
It sounds plausible, given what Israel did with the pagers against Hezbollah.

The approach taken is starting to look like Israel's Mossad and Ukraine's SBU had jointly collaborated under the tutelage of the CIA, to carry out both the attacks against Russia and Iran
Furthermore, the Ukrainian drone strike on Russia may have been a trial run for the Israeli drone strike on Iran.

This is crazy. It could also mean the opening shots have been fired for the start of WW3.
Also, why wouldn't China help Pak to do a drone strike against us, using Pak for its own trial run?


Tuesday, June 10, 2025

Hindu Communities in Canada Unite to Combat Hate Speech and Violence, Demand Legal Action

Legal action is the best way. NRIs and Indian communities overseas need to stand up for their rights or else see these trampled upon. The best way to do this is through litigation, in turning to the legal machinery made for this purpose and availing themselves of it. Protests and petitions can be dismissed and ignored, but legal action cannot be.

Friday, June 06, 2025

Musk & Trump Having Massive Spat / Breakdown in Relations

This kind of headstrong behaviour is why I'd be leery of making someone like Yogi into Modi's successor. That's why you need someone sober and mature, to provide stable leadership for the country to develop under.

At least we have a summer popcorn movie to watch.




https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1930718684819112251





Palantir guy speaks up:

https://x.com/naval/status/1930721134368129164



https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1930796810928599163


Thursday, June 05, 2025

Video on Bluestar

I'm not without empathy for those who feel upset about Bluestar, but blind exoneration of Bhindranwale is wrong. No mention made of reign of terror by Khalistani terrorists, and all those killed by them.

Wednesday, June 04, 2025

Harmeet Dhillon, Khalistani in US Justice Dept, is Targeting Hindus

Harmeet Dhillon, the Trump appointee in the US Justice Dept put in charge of civil rights, is using her position to go after Hindus, presenting them as extremists while presenting her fellow Khalistanis as victims. As a Khalistani herself, she does not have the objectivity to be making these determinations:

https://www.fox4news.com/news/texas-man-sentenced-26-months-prison-making-threats-against-employees-sikh-nonprofit



Monday, June 02, 2025

Shantanu meets Ganga | Mahabharata By Short Sparks | Episode 2

Russia Suffers Pearl Harbour Style Attack from Massive Ukrainian Drone Strike

The latest Ukrainian FPV drone strike on Russian airbases has shown footage of massive damage inflicted on Russian aircraft including Tu-95 strategic bombers. The obvious success of this attack means it would be noted for possible imitation by others. 

We should worry about something like this being done to us, whether by China or by Pak. If any country is vulnerable to such an attack like this, it would be us more than anyone. This is especially true given the number of major terror attacks we've suffered across the years and decades. Once again, the rules of warfare are being re-written, and we need to be sitting up and paying attention. And it's not only our military facilities which could be attacked in this way, it could even be our dams and other vital infrastructure.

Although, to be frank, I think Baloch Liberation Army or TTP should try this out on Pakistan military. The best defense is a good offense.




We've all heard about these little pinprick attacks against Indian military bases, or cross-border drops detected by BSF, etc.

But the ambition, scale and scope of this latest strike from Ukraine shows tremendous operational planning. Again, it shows the possibility of a 'Drone Pearl Harbour'.

Here's more analysis of this Ukrainian operation:


And remember this strike was aimed at Russia's nuclear triad, and has has significantly affected it.

I would compare it to a Pahalgam style strategy -- ie. a strike that was designed to force a major response from the other side. Right now, the Russians are hold emergency cabinet meetings to decide what kind of Sindoor they'll have to carry out in response. Such an inevitable counter-strike will in turn impact peace talks (which obviously certain hidden people don't want to see take hold.) So this looks to have been orchestrated as part of a carefully laid out plan.