Wednesday, March 14, 2012

The Fertility Implosion

By 2030, according to the Vienna Institute of Demography, India will have 100 million relatively educated young men, compared with fewer than 75 million in China. 

But India faces a regional challenge. Population growth is high in the northern parts of the country, where people tend to be poorer and less educated. Meanwhile, fertility rates in the southern parts of the country, where people are richer and better educated, are already below replacement levels. 

NYT: The Fertility Implosion

4 comments:

Anonymous said...

Offtopic:

Check this idiotic and nonsense news... (and the misleading headline - note the reporter is a x'ist as well)
http://epaper.timesofindia.com/Repository/ml.asp?Ref=VE9JSC8yMDEyLzAzLzE0I0FyMDAxMDM=

X'ists doing much here under the garb of 'dalit' activism.

non-carborundum said...

This paragraph is telling:

"Population growth is high in the northern parts of the country, where people tend to be poorer and less educated. Meanwhile, fertility rates in the southern parts of the country, where people are richer and better educated, are already below replacement levels."

More precisely, the middle class in India is not growing at a sustainable rate. You see this problem anecdotally all around with most couples struggling to bear children.

Fertility rate in india is supposed to be around 2.6. This is after averaging with categories that produce 5 children per family. The demographic that reads this blog basically has no chance in numbers after one generation.

Arvind said...

By 2000, India was supposed to be overpopulated and we were supposed to starve to death. These guys never give up, do they? They map their worldview and problems onto India and project their current problems 20 years into the future.

I am sure that UN will soon take this up which means that they've come up with a way to feed off the system by claiming that they want to avert this "crisis."

Pagan said...

And they blame it on everyone else:

SP members thrash dalits in Dadri
With just a day to go before the Samajwadi Party government is sworn in, lawlessness in the state has started to show.