Thursday, June 29, 2017

Fwd: D- India China stand off is actually in Bhutan+The closest look yet at the Chinese engagement in Africa+Chinese interests in CPEC are not benign


---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: Sanjeev Nayyar


gives details of border skirmishes since 1962.
GT quote 'The Doklam area belongs to China, not Bhutan and India, which has been proven by history and legal principle, Chinese foreign ministry spokesperson Lu Kang told a regular conference on Wednesday. "China's road construction in Doklam area, which is our territory, is legitimate, and any other party has no right to interfere," Lu said.'
 
2. Putin's geopolitical chessboard by Brahma C 28.6.17 https://chellaney.net/2017/06/28/vladimir-putins-geopolitical-chessboard/
 
3. It's time India used its most powerful weapon against China: Trade 29.6.17 by Brahma C http://www.hindustantimes.com/opinion/it-s-time-india-use-its-most-powerful-weapon-against-china-trade/story-Bz40cMCubN384qVwQjgMRP.html
 
SN – The Chinese are very upset that India refused to be part of OBOR. When China agreed to give India access to Kailash Mansrovar thru Sikkim it made Modi Sarkar reiterate its acceptance that Tibet is part of China. We are back to nought since the Chinese are now using access as a bargaining tool.
No need to escalate issues with China beyond a point unless India becomes stronger both economically and militarily.
 
 
Sources confirmed that the standoff with China is in Bhutan's territory and in a disputed area which is controlled by Thimphu but coveted by Beijing. The 89-square-km patch of territory in the Chumbi valley — sitting between Sikkim and Bhutan — is an unresolved boundary dispute Beijing has with Thimphu. The two countries have failed to resolve it despite 24 rounds of negotiations since 1984.
5. This round goes to Pak Army by G Parthasarathy 29.6.17 http://www.tribuneindia.com/news/comment/this-round-goes-to-pak-army/428937.html 
'Pakistan's military will thus continue to enjoy absolute power, with no constitutional responsibility. It would be unrealistic to expect there is going to be any change in its support for terrorism in India and Afghanistan. It is clear that President Trump deplores Pakistan sponsored terrorism. We will have to work in close coordination with the Afghan Government to influence US Policies on Afghanistan. China will profess to be interested in apolitical settlement in Afghanistan, while seeking negotiations that ensure Pakistan's dominant role in that country, thereby encouraging Pakistan to continue sponsoring terrorism. President Putin evidently favours four party negotiations on Afghanistan, which exclude India, even while promoting bilateral cooperation with India.
In crafting its approach to Pakistan, India should have no hesitation in taking advantage of its vulnerabilities and fault lines. In sectarian terms, Pakistan faces tensions between its Wahhabi outfits and the widely observed Sufi/Bareilvi practices. It is also afflicted by the Shia-Sunni divide. Prime Minister Modi spoke last year about the exploitation of Baluchis by the Punjabi elite. Just as Pakistan speaks of Kashmir as the "unfinished agenda of partition" India should respond on Baluchistan, bearing in mind that Jinnah himself acknowledged to Baluchistan's ruler, the Khan of Kalat, only a few days before independence, that Baluchistan was independent and not part of British India.  Moreover, we should join Afghanistan in declaring the Durand Line as a disputed border'.
 
6. Human rights abuses in Pak-held J&K 29.6.17 by Claudia Waedlich http://www.vijayvaani.com/ArticleDisplay.aspx?aid=4355
 
 
8. India can help Chinese IT sector expand overseas 28.6.17 Interview with Girish Ramchandran of TCS  http://www.globaltimes.cn/content/1053985.shtml
'GT: According to research firm IDC, the IT market in a total of 64 countries along the route of the Belt and Road (B&R) initiative is worth approximately $200 billion per annum. Do you see any opportunities for Indian IT companies to capitalize on the huge growth potential along the B&R route?'
SN – Hope Indian co's never make mistake. Years ago China borrowed or stole secrets from Western Telecom companies only to set up Chinese telecom co's that dominate many markets today.
 
9. Chinese interests in CPEC are not benign 29.6.17 by Uzair M Younus https://www.dawn.com/news/1342036/a-red-flag
'These interests are fuelled by China's imminent need to secure its global energy and food supplies. CPEC and Gwadar are key to this as they will enable the flow of vital energy and food supplies into China through an alternative route while allowing China to have a military and naval presence close to American military assets located in the Gulf.
A more visible and expanded role by Chinese diplomats in Afghanistan is also part of this strategy as a stable Afghanistan will not only reduce American military presence in the region, but also unlock energy and mineral assets in the landlocked country.'
In crafting its approach to Pakistan, India should have no hesitation in taking advantage of its vulnerabilities and fault lines. In sectarian terms, Pakistan faces tensions between its Wahhabi outfits and the widely observed Sufi/Bareilvi practices. It is also afflicted by the Shia-Sunni divide. PM Modi spoke last year about the exploitation of Balochis by the Punjabi elite. Just as Pakistan speaks of Kashmir as the 'unfinished agenda of Partition', India should respond on Balochistan, bearing in mind that Jinnah himself acknowledged to Balochistan's ruler, the Khan of Kalat, only a few days before independence, that Balochistan was independent and not part of British India.  Moreover, we should join Afghanistan in declaring the Durand Line as a disputed border and continue moves to isolate Pakistan in South Asia. Most importantly, India should respond strongly and effectively, to ISI-backed infiltration and terrorism across the LoC.
We will have to work in close coordination with the Afghan Government to influence US policies on Afghanistan. China will profess to be interested in apolitical settlement in Afghanistan while seeking negotiations that ensure Pakistan's dominant role in that country, thereby encouraging Pakistan to continue sponsoring terrorism. President Putin evidently favours four-party negotiations on Afghanistan, which exclude India, even while promoting bilateral cooperation with India.
We will have to work in close coordination with the Afghan Government to influence US policies on Afghanistan. China will profess to be interested in apolitical settlement in Afghanistan while seeking negotiations that ensure Pakistan's dominant role in that country, thereby encouraging Pakistan to continue sponsoring terrorism. President Putin evidently favours four-party negotiations on Afghanistan, which exclude India, even while promoting bilateral cooperation with India.
We will have to work in close coordination with the Afghan Government to influence US policies on Afghanistan. China will profess to be interested in apolitical settlement in Afghanistan while seeking negotiations that ensure Pakistan's dominant role in that country, thereby encouraging Pakistan to continue sponsoring terrorism. President Putin evidently favours four-party negotiations on Afghanistan, which exclude India, even while promoting bilateral cooperation with India.
 
Warm Regards
sanjeev nayyar
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sent from samsung galaxy note3 neo, so please excuse brevity
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