From: Brahma
Too Crafty A Neighbour
Brahma Chellaney
DNA newspaper, January 12, 2009
The unparalleled November 26-29 Mumbai terrorist assaults were supposed to India's 9/11. They were also expected to be a tipping point in India's forbearance with Pakistan-fomented terrorism.
However, it is now clear that nothing will change fundamentally. Pakistan's military-nurtured terror complex will remain intact, so also the cozy ties between the Directorate of Inter-Services Intelligence and terrorist groups like the Lashkar-e-Taiba. The pusillanimity of the Indian leadership has been shown to be too entrenched to be possibly uprooted.
All this means that there will be more Pakistani terrorist attacks in India at phased intervals, with history repeating itself. Furthermore, a now-familiar Indian cycle of empty rhetoric — ritual condemnation of each attack and a hackneyed promise to defeat terror while allowing communal, electoral and vote-bank considerations to influence counter-terrorism action — will inexorably eat into the vitals of India's internal security.
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http://www.dnaindia.com/report.asp?newsid=1220814
1 comment:
Brahma is right I am afraid; though the yanks may chose to remain in order to prevent more Chinese power projection in Central Asia. I also suspect that Russia may not be content to have the Yanks to fail in Afghanistan - as it seemed to in Iraq.
A lot of people - India included - actually benefit from NATO keeping the Taliban tied down in Afghanistan. Take NATO away and you will have Chechnya and Kashmir flare up again - and the assorted central-asian thugs doing deals with Islamists.
long term though - this "surge, bribe and run" is destined to fail. ( Dr. C may have reused this catch-phrase - though the original idea is his)
we will pay the price for this yankee escalation-to-exit - just as we paid the price for the Soviet escalation-to-exit in Afghanistan. USSR left Afghanistan in the spring-summer of 1989 - in the winter of the same year we nearly lost Kashmir to Islamic terrorism.
What is India doing to ensure that Pakistan is tied up in it's own knots when America quits? We have a very small - and rapidly diminishing window - to make sure that these vermin are fighting each other instead of butchering innocent Indians - er Hindus - I forgot they left the Muslims and Italians alone
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