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From: Sanjeev Nayyar
From: Sanjeev Nayyar
1. Nepal learns to strike a balance in ties with China and India to reap maximum benefit 1.1.18 by kamal dev bhattarai http://www.globaltimes.cn/content/1082866.shtml
2018 must be the best year in the history of Nepal's foreign policy vis-a-vis our policy toward India and China. Nepal and India may come up with new proposals which need to be carefully examined. The year will be a crucial one for Nepal's foreign policy. Both India and China will try to increase their influence on Nepal. India will struggle to retain its influence while China will work to further consolidate it. '
2. Chinese Globaltimes Strategy seems to be to keep India under pressure from day 1 this year. Some articles -
a. Outdated geopolitical mindset hinders India's development 1/1/18 OPED http://www.globaltimes.cn/content/1082863.shtml
b. India to continue 'disturbing' China with border issues in 2018: expert 1/1/18 China World http://www.globaltimes.cn/content/1082924.shtml
3. Seize the Asian century: why India and China must take the lead 2.2.18 by Dhiraj Nayyar (not related). http://www.thehindu.com/opinion/op-ed/seize-the-asian-century/article22347587.ece
The scenario is set for an Asian century. But for it to materialise India, China and the rest of the region need to look beyond rivalry and defensiveness to explore the possibilities of economic integration as the West, so dominant for the last two hundred years, marginalises and isolates itself. '
4. Maldives tests India's foreign policy 'red lines' 2.2.18 https://asia.nikkei.com/Politics-Economy/International-Relations/Maldives-tests-India-s-foreign-policy-red-lines
5. Maldives: Free Trade Agreement with China: Regional Impact: 1.1.18 by Dr S Chandrasekharan http://www.southasiaanalysis.org/node/2247
The real purpose of China going for such an agreement could be understood from a statement of Global times which it said in criticising India's stand and I quote- "It won't be easy for India to maintain its political influence in South Asia if its own economic presence is weakening. If India thinks (that) its position is threatened, it should consider how it can give more benefits to its neighbours through its win-win cooperation."
This would mean that China's aim is to have political influence through economic means and it can afford to do so with its deep pockets and aggressive bargaining. Are we to conclude that all the initiatives under the "Belt Road Initiative" are for getting political influence?
6. What India must worry about in 2018 by Brig Gurmeet Kanwal 1.1.18 http://www.rediff.com/news/column/what-india-must-worry-about-in-2018/20180101.htm
7. Netanyahu is Coming! 2.1.18 by Lt Gen Prakash Katoch http://www.indiandefencereview.com/news/netanyahu-is-coming/
'Already the two countries are cooperating extensively in areas of defence, cyber security, space technology, water, agriculture, development, innovation and R&D. The expansion of 26 Israeli set up agriculture expertise centers in 15 Indian states is on the cards to help Indian agriculture improve its productivity.
Warm Regards
sanjeev nayyar
Warm Regards
sanjeev nayyar
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1 comment:
Regarding China, Maldives, and OBOR - we know that China wants to ensure its access to global markets beyond the United States so that it isn't hostage to America's feelings towards it. This is probably because China has grown weary of having to buy depreciating US dollars just to keep its own currency low for export purposes, and also China's desire to compel Taiwan reunification on its terms over US objections. Maldives is just another piece in that strategic jigsaw. However North Korea's sudden rush towards nuclear status has perhaps upset China's plans, because it's triggered alarm in the United States. A war between the US and North Korea could quickly derail all of China's attentions towards OBOR, inroads into SouthAsia, etc. Suddenly China may face American military might breathing down its neck sooner than anticipated. These fanatical allies like North Korea and Pakistan can often have minds of their own, so that they impulsively pursue their own agenda, rather than purely marching in lockstep with Beijing's timetables and plans.
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