Fwd: China Strategically Cornered Globally: India’s Strategic Window of Opportunity by dr subhash kapila in SAAG

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From: sanjeev nayyar

China Strategically Cornered Globally: India's Strategic Window of Opportunity by dr subhash kapila in SAAG 9/7/13

 

http://www.southasiaanalysis.org/node/1314

 

Introductory Observations

China being strategically cornered globally in 2013 is a reality and this is likely to continue till such time China does not change its strategic postulations. Therefore this should have stiffened the Indian establishment to stand firm in facing up to the Chinese aggression recently in the Daulet Beg Oldie sub-sector of Ladakh.

Sadly due to absence of "Lateral Analysis" of threat assessments, India went down tamely to Chinese political and military coercion and in an avoidable display of weakness by India.

Also in play in India submitting to Chinese coercion was the regrettable trait in India's political leadership of all political dispensations, and that is the obsessive mind-sets of "Risk Aversion' when it comes to standing-up to Chinese military provocations. On national security matters the apex leadership seems to be ill-advised.

Consequently, India's strategic stock globally and in Asian powers capitals has crashed. Contrast the responses of Japan to Chinese military provocations in the East China Sea. Contrast the responses of smaller countries like Vietnam and the Philippines to Chinese aggression in the South China Sea.

Strategic discourse in India since the April 15 2013 Chinese aggression into Indian Territory nearly 30 kilometres deep has been focused rather too narrowly in terms of China's military aims pertaining to the India-China Occupied Tibet border dispute.

Receiving pointed attention in most strategic discourses is the "Draft Border Defence Cooperation Agreement" handed over by China to India on May 5 2005. Rightly perceived is that there were no reasons for a new Accord when a slew of Border Peace and Tranquillity Agreements exist signed from early 1990s to 2005.

Rightly divined by Indian strategic analysts is that the Chinese in projecting this new Accord had a devious military aim of "freezing" Indian Army's on-going military build-up on the borders with China Occupied Tibet, having themselves completed a massive build-up and deployments of Chinese military and related infrastructure in the militarily subjugated Spiritual Kingdom of Tibet.

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