Wednesday, July 05, 2017

Fwd: Modi’s passage to Israel + Sikkim standoff + Sino-Russian partnership solidify amid uncertain ties with US

---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: Sanjeev Nayyar

1. Sikkim-Tibet border: an historical perspective 4.7.17 by R S Kalha
There is no question of India bending to Chinese 'demands', for like in 1967, it must stand its ground firmly
As in the past, what is the political import of this stand-off and what are the Chinese trying to convey? The Chinese decision to cancel the Kailash Mansarovar yatra through Nathu La is a piece of theatrics by which they hope to keep the issue alive in the public domain. Nothing more. The timeline of initiating this incident indicates a high level of pre-planning, possibly at senior levels of the PLA as well as the Chinese government. The Chinese are probably hoping to drive a wedge between Bhutan and India and to break the steadfast support that each gives to the other. To recall, Bhutan was the only South Asian state that did not participate at the 14-15 May Belt and Road Forum in Beijing, along with India.
2. Modi's passage to Israel 3.7.17 by harsh pant
3. The Sikkim patrol clash 4.7.17 by ajai shukla
'As China's foreign ministry spokesperson spelt out in tedious detail last week, the 1890 Anglo-Chinese Convention Relating to Sikkim and Tibet specifically mentioned Mount Gipmochi as tri-junction of China, India and Bhutan. True, Beijing rejects as "colonial impositions" other British era agreements, like the 1914 Simla Convention that birthed the McMahon Line. But, there is a difference – China actually signed the 1890 agreement, and not the 1914 one. Beijing also argues that Jawaharlal Nehru endorsed the 1890 agreement in a 1959 letter to Zhou Enlai.'
SN – From an earlier article ''The Dalai Lama's visit to the controversial area, especially Tawang... will affect relations between China and India,' it said. By making such points, the 'Chinese expert' appears to have forgotten the 2005 agreement signed between the two countries on the 'Political Parameters and Guiding Principles for the Settlement of the India-China Boundary Question', which stipulates that 'the two sides shall safeguard due interests of their settled population in the border areas'.
India's former foreign secretary Kanwal Sibal had written, 'In 1996, China agreed to 'clarifying the alignment of the LAC (Line of Actual Control) in those segments where they (the two sides) have different perceptions'. In 2002 (when the writer was foreign secretary) China decided to repudiate this agreement unilaterally.'
4. India provoked China during Modi's US visit to win favor: expert 3.7.17
SN – The message seems to be that China dislikes Indo US having good relations under the Trump regime.
6. Doklam Plateau Faceoff: The Way Forward 3.7.17 by maj gen sb asthana
'The current faceoff has different strategic dimensions. Despite Bhutan issuing a demarche to China to stop further road building into their territory, China continues to do so aggressively. It violates the understanding of 2012, of no unilateral change of status quo at strategic tri-junction of border of the three countries.
To learn from history, China has to realize that Qing dynasty is not the benchmark, which the world can be forced to follow. If India claims entire Pakistan as its territory based on pre 1947 history, the world will call it naïve and irresponsible. Indian Army is battle hardened and has not lost any war after 1962. Even 1962 was an aberration based on some political and strategic miscalculations. PLA on the other hand after a 'Not so Impressive show' in 1979, is yet to have any operational experience. The modernization drive based on other Armies experiences do not make a force operationally experienced, because it is the man behind the gun, which matters.
7. Modi visit to DC – Bravely bear the gifts by Kanwal Sibal July 10 issue
8. Sino-Russian partnership solidify amid uncertain ties with US OPED 4.7.17
The China-Russia relationship is the most significant factor in the current global strategic balance, and should continue to develop in the direction of an all-weather strategic partnership. The more balanced the world is, the more active world powers will seek friendly ties with each other. Washington may someday get bored of its geopolitical calculations and divert its attention to its internal affairs.'
9. U.S. lifts laptop ban for Etihad flights 4.7.17
Warm Regards
sanjeev nayyar
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